Published: Wed, November 07, 2018
Markets | By Otis Pena

United States midterms 2018: Trump impeachment would be ‘DANGEROUS’ for Democrats

United States midterms 2018: Trump impeachment would be ‘DANGEROUS’ for Democrats

Despite not being on the ballot, Trump made the midterm elections about him. He's a military veteran who prides himself on not being a career politician. It's widely expected that Democrats will regain control of the House but will fall short of cementing a majority in the Senate. Yet Democrats tempered expectations for a "blue wave", characterizing the fight for power as a block-by-block slog.

As the results begin to come in later in the day, Wolf said he's going to be closely watching the gubernatorial races.

The outcome has serious stakes for the president.

Democrats outraised Republicans in every quarter in the run-up to the 2018 midterm elections. According to FiveThirtyEight, Hillary Clinton had a 71 percent chance of winning and Trump had a 28 percent. Either of the latter two scenarios would be problematic for Trump, immediately putting a damper on his agenda.

But similar polls in the 2016 election had underrated Trump's appeal and there has been a strong female presence in his rallies, all sporting pink hats and signs supporting his "Make America Great Again" slogan.

Even if Republicans do hold on in the Senate, a Democratic takeover of the House would be a pivotal moment in Trump's presidency.

The midterm elections give U.S. citizens the chance to voice their feelings about a President halfway through his term. It was a deliberate strategy to expand the playing field to about 80 districts, stretching beyond college-educated voters in the suburbs into regions where the party has seen its fortunes fade.

"They're generally lower income, younger or minority voters, and are often people with fewer resources who can't afford to go out on Tuesday to vote". Hundreds of millions were spent by the parties, supplemented by more money from outside groups, to frame the debate. There are enough budget-hawk Republicans still around in the Senate to object on principle to spending trillions of dollars on something other than the military and enough cynical Democrats in the House who are unwilling to have a hand in anything for which Trump would receive some credit, deserved or otherwise, ahead of his re-election campaign in 2020. For Republicans they are less obvious. Trump had been tweeting support for specific GOP candidates, even as he acknowledged potential losses by emphasizing that his focus was on the Senate.

It's nearly certainly not going to happen.

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President Trump and the Republican party owe their current dominance to this person.

First in line was a retiree, Jerry, who did not want to give his last name and said he was voting for the first time in midterm elections.

The airtight House contests are scattered across the country: Among them, Democrat Abigail Spanberger is challenging Republican Rep. Dave Brat in Virginia's 7th Congressional District; Democrat Danny O'Connor and Republican Troy Balderson are rematching in Ohio's 12th Congressional District; and Democrat Harley Rouda is challenging longtime Rep. Dana Rohrabacher in California's 48th Congressional District. She was expected to lose to political newcomer Jennifer Wexton.

Asked if he was concerned Democrats would force the release of his taxes, Trump replied: 'No, I don't care. Illinois, where more than $280 million has been raised, is Democrats' surest flip. The outgoing Governor of Florida is Republican Rick Scott.

Democratic candidates for the House of Representatives have raised $649m (£500m) from individual donors, more than double the $312m tally for the Republicans. These voters also backed Republicans for the Senate in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, allowing them to scrape to victory.

Voter turnout in Pinellas County after the Election Day morning rush is favoring Republicans.

This would start in January 2019 when a new Democratic Congress would be sworn in. Other seats in the state were also considered in play.

The Cook Political Report rates 75 House seats as "competitive", with 70 of those seats now held by Republican incumbents. Harris was facing a stiff challenge from Marine veteran and small-businessman Dan McCready.

Wrapping up the campaign in recent days, Trump repeatedly raised fears about immigrants, issuing harsh warnings about a caravan of Central American migrants that is moving slowly through Mexico towards the United States border. Democrat Mikie Sherrill, a former Navy pilot and federal prosecutor, was favored for a suburban Newark seat that became open after the sudden retirement of the powerful chairman of the Appropriations Committee. One of his main concerns was abortion, legalised in the 1973 Roe v Wade verdict, which progressives fear may be overturned by a conservative Supreme Court.

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