Published: Thu, November 01, 2018
Sport | By Kayla Schwartz

Iowa State ranked 24th in College Football Playoff Top 25

Iowa State ranked 24th in College Football Playoff Top 25

SEC West foe LSU sits at No. 3. That has translated well to their push for a playoff spot.

What does the No. 5 ranking mean for MI? Is it better to beat bad teams than lose to good ones?

While I don't believe there's any way a 12-1 MI team would get left out of the College Football Playoff, especially as Big Ten champions that haven't lost since September 1, there are a handful of possible, yet unlikely, scenarios that could make the first week of December a little uncomfortable.

This season, UCF is riding a 20-game win streak going into its Week 10 game Thursday at home against Temple. Houston's schedule isn't the greatest; its only victory over a winning team came in Saturday's shellacking of previously-undefeated South Florida.

Actually, the undefeated Knights are ranked six spots higher than where they opened last season as an undefeated team in the College Football Playoff rankings.

The Bulldogs rank sixth this week in the AP media poll and tied for fifth in the coaches' poll. Starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is running away with the Heisman Trophy, and he hasn't even thrown a pass in the fourth quarter this year. But in this exact scenario, the Crimson Tide would probably be left out.

More importantly, MI will have more quality wins.

The rankings, announced Tuesday on ESPN, name the four teams now selected to participated in the postseason for the national championship.

Mike Golic Jr.: "If Michigan wins out, they're going to be in".

Keep in mind: For this scenario to play out, Michigan, Clemson, Notre Dame and the victor of Georgia and Kentucky all have to win out, and that isn't likely if recent history is any indication.

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No. 1 Alabama at No. 3 LSU - The showdown in Baton Rouge. A year ago, three of them - Georgia, Alabama and Clemson - finished in the top four. "If Alabama stumbles, teams should be nervous because that could mean two SEC programs could get in".

The first top four teams were no surprise.

15 for the first week in 2015 and No. 5 past year, and the Sooners were able to make the climb into the final four spots when it mattered most. Texas A&M in 2016 was somewhat of a surprising No. 4, and then proceeded to lose three of its final four games.

Sound familiar? That's exactly what happened to Alabama last season after a loss to Auburn. It was also the first game of the season.

"I said before the year I think we're one of the 12 or 15 teams that maybe have a shot, and that's where we want to be every year". A win over Purdue this week would be a big help for them in the Big Ten West race, as it is a four-team race right now and Iowa knocking down Purdue this week could make it a three-team race.

The top 10 of the first CFP rankings are as follows.

Interestingly, the ACC, viewed by most experts as suffering through a down season, had five teams in the top 25, one more than in the AP poll.

Penn State got a big win against Iowa last week and while they are fourth in the Big Ten East race right now, a win against MI this week could throw themselves in the mix. The committee certainly leans more towards the latter.

A 12-1 MI team would only have to worry if it struggled badly against IN or Rutgers.

The very first committee rankings, in 2014, had just one eventual playoff team.

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