Published: Wed, June 06, 2018
Markets | By Otis Pena

Oil created bullish hammer on falling USA inventories


Oil prices rose on Wednesday after Venezuela raised the prospect of a halt to some crude exports, but gains were capped by reports that the USA government had asked Saudi Arabia and some other OPEC producers to increase output.

Oil price rises have led to higher prices for fuel and other commodities and Mr Trump tweeted complaining about the cartel "artificially" boosting prices.

"It's a tug of war between the loss of supply from Venezuela and Iran and the potential output increase from OPEC and USA shale", said Tony Nunan, risk manager at Mitsubishi Corp.

USA sanctions on Iran are also threatening to reduce oil exports from the OPEC producer.

WTI oil recovered from one-month lows, creating bullish hammer on the daily chart.

Mexican oil output could return to 2 million barrels per day (bpd) by about 2022 from 1.886 million bpd in April if the next government pursues plans to auction off development blocs to private investors, Energy Minister Pedro Joaquin Coldwell said on Tuesday.

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"Markets are forward-looking. The fact that Russia, Saudi Arabia and OPEC more broadly have started discussing raising output levels, you've got this pretty swift correction", said Tyler Richey, co-editor of the Sevens Report in Jupiter, Florida.

Both benchmarks were trading down significantly week on week on Tuesday afternoon as reports surfaced that the United States had quietly asked Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations to raise oil production by 1 million bpd.

The cartel, which pumps about a third of the world's crude, is due to meet in Vienna this month to decide whether to maintain output curbs agreed with Russian Federation and other producers in 2016.

"(The output decision) is going to be the main event of the month and the main input for the second half of the year, so any change in OPEC policy is a big event", Petromatrix strategist Olivier Jakob said.

USA crude oil stockpiles were forecast to have fallen for the second consecutive week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

Industry data from the American Petroleum Institute showed on Tuesday that US crude inventories fell by 2 million barrels last week, compared with analysts' expectations for a draw of 1.8 million barrels.

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